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阿西莫夫：我们仍活在他的预言之下 Asimov: We Are Still Living Under His Prophecy
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| 今日邮票 stamptoday.net 2023.01.06 | 文章汇总 | 微信公众号 | 今日头条 | 一点资讯 | 美篇 |
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本文选自2023年1月2日《今日邮票》电子日报，访问官网stamptoday.net可下载PDF文件。
今天是科幻大师艾萨克·阿西莫夫（Isasc Asimov，1920-1992）诞生103周年。阿西莫夫是人类历史上最伟大的科幻小说家之一，是可以与凡尔纳（1828-1905）和威尔斯（1866-1946）并肩的人类科幻历史巨擘。他一生写了近500种作品，以至于有人说：“如果你想和神对话，最快的途径就是读阿西莫夫的书。” Today is the 103rd anniversary of the birth of the science fiction master Isaac Asimov (1920-1992). Asimov is one of the greatest science fiction novelists in human history, and a giant of human science fiction history who can stand shoulder to shoulder with Jules Verne (1828-1905) and Herbert Wells (1866-1946). He wrote nearly 500 kinds of works in his life, so that some people said: "If you want to talk to God, the fastest way is to read Asimov's book." 直至今日，在几乎所有重要的科幻题材的文字作品和影视作品中，我们依然可以随时见到阿西莫夫的影子。很多我们如今习以为常的前沿科技，灵感都来源于阿西莫夫七十年前的“神预言”：机器人、太阳能、移动智能设备、生物科技、互联网时代的数字图书馆、太空殖民、自动化家居……在某种程度上，阿西莫夫预言了现代世界的诞生。
Up to now, we can still see Asimov's shadow at any time in
almost all important science fiction written works and film
and television works. Many of the cutting-edge technologies
that we are accustomed to today are inspired by Asimov's
"divine prophecy" 70 years ago: robots, solar energy, mobile
intelligent devices, biotechnology, digital libraries in the
Internet era, space colonization, automated home
furnishing... In a way, Asimov predicted the birth of the
modern world.
早在1950年发表的作品《我，机器人》中，阿西莫夫深入探讨了“机器人学三定律”：第一法则：机器人不得伤害人类，或袖手旁观坐视人类受到伤害；第二法则：除非违背第一法则，机器人必须服从人类的命令；第三法则：在不违背第一及第二法则下，机器人必须保护自己。同一年，计算机科学之父艾伦·图灵（1912-1954）发表了一篇论文，阐述了人工智能的基础概念，包括著名的图灵测试。 As early as 1950, in his work "I, Robot", Asimov deeply discussed the "three laws of robotics": the first law: robots must not harm humans, or stand idly by and watch humans get hurt; The second law: unless the first law is violated, robots must obey human orders; The third rule: robots must protect themselves without violating the first and second rules. In the same year, Alan Turing (1912-1954), the father of computer science, published a paper describing the basic concepts of AI, including the famous Turing test. 人工智能的场景正在现代迅速拓展。曾经被视为人类智慧顶点的围棋被攻克，自动驾驶汽车也即将现实化。沿着这样的趋势发展下去，AI无疑将持续覆盖更多的领域，做出比人类更好的现实决策。 The scene of artificial intelligence is rapidly expanding in modern times. Go, which used to be regarded as the pinnacle of human wisdom, has been conquered, and autonomous vehicle are about to be realized. Following this trend, AI will undoubtedly continue to cover more areas and make better realistic decisions than human beings. 1983年，阿西莫夫应《星报》之邀对35年后的世界做出预言，他详细描述了计算机在未来社会中的重要地位，认为计算机将导致教育性质的巨大转变，“新一代人成长中将接受新世界的教育”，来跟上高科技世界的发展。 In 1983, Asimov predicted the world 35 years from now at the invitation of The Star. He described in detail the important role of computers in the future society and believed that computers would lead to a huge change in the nature of education. "The new generation will receive education from the new world when they grow up" to keep pace with the development of the high-tech world. 阿西莫夫对人类探索太空的预判和指导，至今影响着有太空梦的科技精英们。2018年，马斯克发射火箭“重型猎鹰”，并在火箭所搭载的特斯拉跑车中，放了一套微缩版的阿西莫夫的《银河帝国》。 Asimov's prediction and guidance on human exploration of space has so far influenced the scientific and technological elites with space dreams. In 2018, Musk launched the rocket "Heavy Falcon" and put a miniature version of Asimov's "Galactic Empire" in the Tesla sports car carried by the rocket. 阿西莫夫的预言和思想极致在最著名的《银河帝国》中得到最好体现，美国科幻与奇幻协会评价为“人类历史上最好看的系列小说“，这本书征服了阿瑟·克拉克、马斯克、比尔·盖茨、卡梅隆、刘慈欣等众多名人。书中讲述了人类未来两万年的历史，涵盖世界局势、经济走向、科技发展、意识进化、生物进化、AI科技、机器人学…… Asimov's prediction and ultimate thought are best reflected in the most famous Galaxy Empire, The American Science Fiction and Fantasy Association rated it as "the best series of novels in human history". This book has conquered many celebrities, such as Arthur Clark, Musk, Bill Gates, Cameron, Liu Ci-xin, etc. The book tells about the history of mankind in the next 20000 years, covering the world situation, economic trend, scientific and technological development, consciousness evolution, biological evolution, AI technology, robotics. 早在在1954年，阿西莫夫就在书中预言了基因工程，书中的角色正是利用基因改造，控制自己的外表以及延长生命。不仅如此，1987年他还在作品中预言了纳米机器人进入人体血管内部和大脑中航行，做手术，治病。 As early as 1954, Asimov predicted genetic engineering in his book. The role in the book is to use genetic modification to control his appearance and prolong life. Not only that, in 1987, he also predicted in his works that nano robots would enter the human blood vessels and navigate in the brain to perform surgery and cure diseases. 著名天文学家卡尔·萨根（1934-1996）曾这样说：我们永远也无法知晓，究竟有多少第一线的科学家由于读了阿西莫夫的某一本书、某一篇文章或某一个小故事而触发了最初的灵感，我们也无法知晓，究竟有多少普通百姓因为同样的缘故而对科学事业有了感情。 Carl Sagan (1934-1996), a famous astronomer, once said: We never know how many front-line scientists triggered the initial inspiration by reading a book, an article or a short story of Asimov. We also cannot know how many ordinary people have feelings for the scientific cause for the same reason. 本文选自2023年1月2日《今日邮票》电子日报，访问官网stamptoday.net可下载PDF文件。
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